2012 and World Political Conflicts – (pt. two)

Posted: January 9, 2012 in Current Events, politics

Continued from previous post.

As if one lunatic country with loose nuclear weapons were not enough, we have a second destabilization in N. Korea where it seems that one nutbar leader has been replaced by another.  One can hope that perhaps Kim Jong Il’s successor may be a closet normal person, but so far we don’t seem to have much optimistic news to suggest that possibility.  While Iran is just in the process of developing nuclear weapons, N. Korea has successfully constructed some.  What they lack, it seems, is a delivery system in the form of a missile capable of shooting the devise to any of their targets.

Political posturing in the U.S., especially in the current Republican race, criticises Obama for inaction regarding Iran’s nuclear program.  Some are saying that he hasn’t done enough while others are saying that he’s done too much.  Just like with Libya, whether he should have acted or shouldn’t have seems entirely dependent on the convenience of the argument in trying to make him look bad.  But on whose watch did N. Korea develop their nuclear capabilities?  N. Korea developed this technology between 2000 and 2006, while the very people who are bellyaching about Iran now were the posse in power.  It was a Republican watch that oversaw and, I guess, under reacted to N. Korea’s becoming a player in the nuclear sandbox.  Sanctions levied against N. Korea resulted in a country so determined to create nuclear weapons that the rest of the country descended into abject poverty.  All resources went into military spending.  It was difficult to strike against N. Korea because of their proximity to China, who may be annoyed by them but who will still support them when push comes to shove.

So now we have a leader in N. Korea who in all likelihood has the same fantasies as his father, who is in his mid twenties and whose only link to sanity may be the counsel of the same relatives that supported his father.

One thing that particularly concerns me about the nuclear situation in N. Korea is the fact that they, by all reports, have very poor security controlling their weapons.  Back during the Cold War, many of us that had researched nuclear weapons were very concerned even with the possibility of accidental launches on the part of the U.S. or Russia.  Such accidental commencements of nuclear war occurred at least twice in the late 1900’s, -and that was with double and triple safeguards on the weapons.  N. Korea (and India or Pakistan for that matter) don’t have nearly the same kinds of safeguards, meaning that it is very easy for some lunatic to do something rash.  Also, it is quite easy for nuclear material to go missing and be used by terrorists.

The destabilization of N. Korea raises an flag on the increased risk for any of these issues to happen.  It is sad that our only hope for restraint in this area probably comes from China.

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